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Ecological fallacy

The ecological fallacy is a widely recognised error in the interpretation of statistical data, whereby inferences about the nature of individuals are based solely upon aggregate statistics collected for the group to which those individuals belong.

Example: Betty goes to a school where the average math grade is A. Simon's school only averages a B in math. The ecological fallacy would lead us to conclude that Betty is a better mathematician than Simon, which is not necessarily the case.

See also prosecutor's fallacy.





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